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hypothesis of no difference in the unconditional accuracy of two competing forecasts. The class includes analogues of the well … found empirically even when comparing forecasts from estimated models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162457
policy stance is set according to inflation forecasts. While most empirical studies on causality have examined this issue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162529
This paper compares the performance of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price-level path targeting (PLPT) rules to stabilize the macroeconomy, in response to a series of shocks, similar to those seen in Canada and the United States over the 1983 to 2004 period. The analysis is conducted in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808349
The stochastic simulation model suggested by Bolder (2003) for the analysis of the federal government's debt-management strategy provides a wide variety of useful information. It does not, however, assist in determining an optimal debt-management strategy for the government in its current form....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673352
Real wage rigidities have recently been proposed as a way of building intrinsic persistence in inflation within the context of New Keynesian Phillips Curves. Using two recent illustrative structural models, we evaluate empirically the importance of real wage rigidities in the data and the extent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933276
Real wage rigidities have recently been proposed as a way of building intrinsic persistence in inflation within the context of New Keynesian Phillips Curves. Using two recent illustrative structural models, we evaluate empirically the importance of real wage rigidities in the data and the extent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005039601
In this paper, the authors survey some of the recent techniques proposed in the literature to measure the trend component of output or potential output. Given the reported shortcomings of mechanical filters and univariate approaches to estimate potential output, the paper focusses on three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162393
Using identification-robust methods, the authors estimate and evaluate for Canada and the United States various classes of inflation equations based on generalized structural Calvo-type models. The models allow for different forms of frictions and vary in their assumptions regarding the type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162467
The authors examine the evidence presented by Galí and Gertler (1999) and Galí, Gertler, and Lopez-Salido (2001, 2003) that the inflation dynamics in the United States can be well-described by the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). The authors address several important econometrics issues...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162506
The authors use simple new finite-sample methods to test the empirical relevance of the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) equation. Unlike tests based on the generalized method of moments, the generalized Anderson-Rubin (1949) tests are immune to the presence of weak instruments and allow, by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673284