Showing 1 - 10 of 75
This paper studies the capital accumulation and welfare implications of reducing capital income taxation in a general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808306
Mark (2000) relax the assumption of rational expectations and in its place use the assumption of distorted beliefs. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673366
This paper studies the formation of consumers’ inflation expectations using micro-level data from the Michigan Survey …. It shows that beyond the well-established socio-economic determinants of inflation expectations such as gender, income or …. Respondents with current or expected financial difficulties, pessimistic attitudes about major purchases, or expectations that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010783636
Changes in risk perception have been used in various contexts to explain shorter-term developments in financial markets, as part of a mechanism that amplifies fluctuations in financial markets, as well as in accounts of "irrational exuberance." This approach holds that changes in risk perception...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808296
The effectiveness of monetary policy depends, to a large extent, on market expectations of its future actions. In a … standard New Keynesian business-cycle model with rational expectations, systematic monetary policy reduces the variance of … inflation and the output gap by at least two-thirds. These stabilization benefits can be substantially smaller if expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010713920
Recent asset pricing models of limits to arbitrage emphasize the role of funding conditions faced by financial intermediaries. In the US, the repo market is the key funding market. Then, the premium of on-the-run U.S. Treasury bonds should share a common component with risk premia in other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933337
In this paper, we provide empirical evidence on the factors that motivated emerging economies to change their capital outflow controls in recent decades. Liberalization of capital outflow controls can allow emerging-market economies (EMEs) to reduce net capital inflow (NKI) pressures, but may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849944
A measure of the neutral policy interest rate can be used to gauge the stance of monetary policy. We define the neutral rate as the real policy rate consistent with output at its potential level and inflation equal to target after the effects of all cyclical shocks have dissipated. This is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960403
We construct a multi-country affine term structure model that contains unspanned macroeconomic and foreign exchange risks. The canonical version of the model is derived and is shown to be easy to estimate. We show that it is important to impose restrictions (including global asset pricing, carry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493657
Interest rates in China are composed of a mix of both market-determined interest rates (interbank rates and bond yields), and regulated interest rates (retail lending and deposit rates), reflecting China’s gradual process of interest rate liberalization. This paper investigates the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010670841