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A financial conditions index for the United States
Beaton, Kimberly; Lalonde, René; Luu, Corinne - 2009
activity. The authors estimate the effect of current and past shocks to financial variables on U.S. GDP growth by constructing … two growthbased financial conditions indexes (FCIs) that measure the contribution to quarterly (annualized) GDP growth … percentage points from quarterly annualized real GDP growth in the United States in 2008Q4 and 2009Q1 and should subtract another …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933229
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Resurrecting the role of real money balance effects
Dorich, José - 2009
I present a structural econometric analysis supporting the hypothesis that money is still relevant for shaping inflation and output dynamics in the United States. In particular, I find that real money balance effects are quantitatively important, although smaller than they used to be in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933293
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Consumption, housing collateral, and the Canadian business cycle
Christensen, Ian; Corrigan, Paul; Mendicino, Caterina; … - 2009
Using Bayesian methods, we estimate a small open economy model in which consumers face limits to credit determined by the value of their housing stock. The purpose of this paper is to quantify the role of collateralized household debt in the Canadian business cycle. Our findings show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933334
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Risk premium shocks and the zero bound on nominal interest rates
Amano, Robert A.; Shukayev, Malik - 2009
There appears to be a disconnect between the importance of the zero bound on nominal interest rates in the real-world and predictions from quantitative DSGE models. Recent economic events have reinforced the relevance of the zero bound for monetary policy whereas quantitative models suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933335
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Monetary Policy Transmission during Financial Crises: An Empirical Analysis
Dahlhaus, Tatjana - Bank of Canada - 2014
This paper studies the effects of a monetary policy expansion in the United States during times of high financial stress. The analysis is carried out by introducing a smooth transition factor model where the transition between states (“normal” and high financial stress) depends on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849951
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Business Cycle Effects of Credit Shocks in a DSGE Model with Firm Defaults
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Xu, TengTeng - Bank of Canada - 2013
This paper proposes a theoretical framework to analyze the relationship between credit shocks, firm defaults and volatility, and to study the impact of credit shocks on business cycle dynamics. Firms are identical ex ante but differ ex post due to different realizations of firm-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849962
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A Policy Model to Analyze Macroprudential Regulations and Monetary Policy
Alpanda, Sami; Cateau, Gino; Meh, Césaire - Bank of Canada - 2014
We construct a small-open-economy, New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model with real-financial linkages to analyze the effects of financial shocks and macroprudential policies on the Canadian economy. Our model has four key features. First, it allows for non-trivial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849963
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China’s Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - Bank of Canada - 2012
world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … times since mid-1990s. At the same time, the long-term impact of a US GDP shock has halved, while the transmission of shocks … from Latin America and the rest of emerging Asia (excluding China and India) GDP has not undergone any significant change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849965
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Housework and Fiscal Expansions
Gnocchi, Stefano; Hauser, Daniela; Pappa, Evi - Bank of Canada - 2014
We build an otherwise-standard business cycle model with housework, calibrated consistently with data on time use, in order to discipline consumption-hours complementarity and relate its strength to the size of fiscal multipliers. We show that if substitutability between home and market goods is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010885042
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On the Importance of Sales for Aggregate Price Flexibility
Kryvtsov, Oleksiy; Vincent, Nicolas - Bank of Canada - 2014
Macroeconomists have traditionally ignored the behavior of temporary price markdowns (“sales”) by retailers. Although sales are common in the micro price data, they are assumed to be unrelated to macroeconomic phenomena and generally filtered out. We challenge this view. First, using the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960391