Showing 1 - 10 of 123
Over the past 15 years, long-term interest rates have declined to levels not seen since the 1970s. This paper explores possible shifts in global savings and investment that have led to this fall in the world real interest rate. There are several key findings. First, the authors identify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808394
the average anticipated path of policy responses to inflation is subject to a lower bound of unity. This result helps … explain how bond rates may exhibit stable responses to inflation, even in periods of passive policy. Another possible … explanation is time-varying term premiums with risk pricing that depends on inflation. The authors present a no-arbitrage model of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808353
longer-term market interest rates by taking into account the relationship between interest rates, inflation, and unemployment … rates. By using vector autoregressive models of monthly interest rates, month-over-month inflation, and unemployment rates … lowering Canadian interest rates relative to what their historical relationship with inflation and unemployment rates would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008484233
The paper analyzes the integration of euro area sovereign bond markets during the European sovereign debt crisis. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262896
manage the short-term nominal interest rate in response to deviations of inflation, output, and money growth from their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673321
Guided by a macroeconomic model in which non-energy commodity prices are endogenously determined, we apply a new factor-based identification strategy to decompose the historical sources of changes in commodity prices and global economic activity. The model yields a factor structure for commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849946
Inflation dynamics in advanced countries have produced two consecutive puzzles during the years after the global … financial crisis. The first puzzle emerged when inflation rates over the period 2009-11 were consistently higher than expected … today - was initially observed in 2012, when inflation rates in advanced countries were weakening rapidly despite the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010885041
movements have had important implications for inflation and economic activity in both Canada and the rest of the world. China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162505
This paper discusses broad trends in labour force participation and part-time employment across different age groups since the Great Recession and uses provincial data to identify changes related to population aging, cyclical effects and other factors. The main population age groups examined are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011253081
The authors develop a small open-economy dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium (DSGE) model in an attempt to understand the dynamic relationships in Canadian macroeconomic data. The model differs from most recent DSGE models in two key ways. First, for prices and wages, the authors use the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162533