Showing 1 - 10 of 126
-term bonds between 1995 and 2008. We run forecasting regressions of realized excess returns on measures of net purchases of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008527619
We construct a multi-country affine term structure model that contains unspanned macroeconomic and foreign exchange risks. The canonical version of the model is derived and is shown to be easy to estimate. We show that it is important to impose restrictions (including global asset pricing, carry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493657
Trades in foreign exchange markets are initiated around the world and around the clock. This study illustrates that trades are more informative when initiated in a local country or in major foreign exchange centers like London and New York. Evidence suggests that informational asymmetries based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162392
The author proposes an arbitrage-free model of the joint behaviour of interest and exchange rates whose exchange rate forecasts outperform those produced by a random-walk model, a vector autoregression on the forward premiums and the rate of depreciation, and the standard forward premium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162430
Nowadays researchers can choose the sampling frequency of exchange rates and interest rates. If the number of observations per contract period is large relative to the sample size, standard GMM asymptotic theory provides unreliable inferences in UIP regression tests. We specify a bivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162461
This paper assesses the effectiveness of Canada's official foreign exchange intervention in moderating intraday volatility of the Can$/US$ exchange rate, using a 2-1/2-year sample of 10-minute exchange rate data. The use of high frequency data (higher than daily frequency) should help in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162465
returns of Canadian bonds. In addition, Canadian monetary policy shocks explain more than 70% of the variations in Canadian … Canadian bonds. Both Canadian and US macroeconomic shocks help explain the dynamics of the exchange rate and the time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162497
The Bank of Canada is one of very few central banks that has made records of the intraday timing of its intervention operations available to researchers. The authors investigate the effectiveness of sterilized intervention in the Canadian dollar exchange rate market over the period January 1995...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162510
The observed predictability of excess returns in equity and foreign exchange markets has largely been attributed to the presence of time-varying risk premiums in these markets. For example, excess equity returns were found to be explained by various financial and economic variables. Similarly,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005536854
Our contribution in this paper is threefold. First, we survey the empirical literature on consumption smoothing mechanisms of regional economic shocks. Second, building on the work of Asdrubali et al. (1996), we present evidence on the role played by various smoothing mechanisms for specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005536894