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We study a model with repeated moral hazard where financial contracts are not fully indexed to inflation because nominal prices are observed with delay as in Jovanovic & Ueda (1997). More constrained firms sign contracts that are less indexed to the nominal price and, as a result, their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852858
The financial crisis of 200709 has highlighted the importance of developments in financial conditions for real economic activity. The authors estimate the effect of current and past shocks to financial variables on U.S. GDP growth by constructing two growthbased financial conditions indexes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933229
Understanding the nature of credit risk has important implications for financial stability. Since authorities notably … difficulty lies in finding reliable measures of aggregate credit risk in the economy, as opposed to firmlevel credit risk. In … this paper, the authors examine two models recently developed for this purpose: a reduced-form model applied to credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933233
Do short sales restrictions have an impact on security prices? We address this question in the context of a natural experiment surrounding the short sale ban of 2008 using a comprehensive sample of Canadian stocks cross-listed in the U.S. Among financial stocks, which were singled out by the ban...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933290
A sequential Monte Carlo method for estimating GARCH models subject to an unknown number of structural breaks is proposed. Particle filtering techniques allow for fast and efficient updates of posterior quantities and forecasts in real time. The method conveniently deals with the path dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933353
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