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I present a structural econometric analysis supporting the hypothesis that money is still relevant for shaping inflation and output dynamics in the United States. In particular, I find that real money balance effects are quantitatively important, although smaller than they used to be in the...
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This paper provides a framework for the early assessment of current U.S. nominal GDP growth, which has been considered a potential new monetary policy target. The nowcasts are computed using the exact amount of information that policy-makers have available at the time predictions are made....
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. The estimation method, which follows Rennison (2003) and Gosselin and Lalonde (2002), shows that combining the use of a …
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The authors describe the key features of a new large-scale Canadian macroeconomic forecasting model developed over the past two years at the Bank of Canada. The new model, called LENS for Large Empirical and Semi-structural model, uses a methodology similar to the Federal Reserve Board’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265714
-regression (VAR) based estimation and testing procedure that relies on inverting identification-robust multivariate statistics. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005256659