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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002185890
Understanding the nature of credit risk has important implications for financial stability. Since authorities notably … difficulty lies in finding reliable measures of aggregate credit risk in the economy, as opposed to firmlevel credit risk. In … the type of risk priced in corporate bonds (i.e., credit or liquidity risk). However, although the two models provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933233
This paper deals with the estimation of the risk-return trade-off. We use a MIDAS model for the conditional variance … and allow for possible switches in the risk-return relation through a Markov-switching specification. We find strong … evidence for regime changes in the risk-return relation. This finding is robust to a large range of specifications. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849950
that the convenience yield curve is well explained by a level and a slope factor. Consistent with the theory of storage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960394
The early work of Tobin (1958) showed that portfolio allocation decisions can be reduced to a two stage process: first decide the relative allocation of assets across the risky assets, and second decide how to divide total wealth between the risky assets and the safe asset. This so called...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220952
risk-neutral volatilities is a function of the risk premium and of skewness. In fact, the equity premium is twice the ratio … conditioning on skewness increases the predictive power of the volatility spread and that coefficient estimates accord with theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005256657
Over the past 10 years, financial firms have increased the size of their positions in the oil futures market. At the same time, oil prices have increased dramatically. The conjunction of these developments has led some observers to argue that financial speculation caused the run-up in oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323062
fit for both the historical and the risk-neutral distribution of returns, compared to existing affine generalized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352264
are, on average, a cheaper source of funding, but carry counterparty risk. The model penalizes a skewed maturity profile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395393
risk to obtain plausible decompositions of forward curves. The forecasts of interest rates and exchange rates from the … international term and foreign exchange risk premia as well as expected exchange rate changes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493657