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activity or inflation. This is of particular interest in the context of an inflation-targeting regime, where the monetary … policy stance is set according to inflation forecasts. While most empirical studies on causality have examined this issue … criteria. The causality pattern inferred by the authors' procedure is consistent with the Phillips curve (for the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162529
The U.S. Federal Reserve responded to the great recession by reducing policy rates to the effective lower bound. In order to provide further monetary stimulus, they subsequently conducted large-scale asset purchases, quadrupling their balance sheet in the process. We assess the international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960398
a powerful effect on both output growth and inflation. Second, conditional on available estimates of the impact of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010559417
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000964358
This paper compares the performance of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price-level path targeting (PLPT) rules to … preferred to IT for delivering macroeconomic stability, as it delivers a reduction in inflation and nominal interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808349
The linkages between inflation and the economy's cyclical position are thought to be strongly affected by the … endogenizes and estimates credibility parameters, allowing inflation expectations to be a mix of backward- and forward … between policy credibility and divergences of inflation from target, which is also assumed to change over history. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162483
The Federal Reserve’s path for withdrawal of monetary stimulus and eventually increasing interest rates could have substantial repercussions for capital flows to emerging-market economies (EMEs). This paper examines the potential impact of U.S. monetary policy normalization on portfolio flows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011094223
In this paper, we provide empirical evidence on the factors that motivated emerging economies to change their capital outflow controls in recent decades. Liberalization of capital outflow controls can allow emerging-market economies (EMEs) to reduce net capital inflow (NKI) pressures, but may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849944
The days when secrecy and opacity were the bywords of central banking are gone. The advent of inflation targeting in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849959
rate as the real policy rate consistent with output at its potential level and inflation equal to target after the effects … rate below neutral will be required to maintain inflation sustainably at target. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960403