Showing 1 - 10 of 177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002185890
The objective of this paper is to propose an early warning system that can predict the likelihood of the occurrence of financial stress events within a given period of time. To achieve this goal, the signal extraction approach proposed by Kaminsky, Lizondo and Reinhart (1998) is used to monitor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960397
The authors use the Financial Stress Index created by the International Monetary Fund to predict the likelihood of financial stress events for five developed countries: Canada, France, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States. They use a semiparametric panel data model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010658798
. Simulation and empirical results illustrate the usefulness of the joint mean-variance efficiency tests. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071652
The stochastic simulation model suggested by Bolder (2003) for the analysis of the federal government's debt … nonetheless complicated by two challenges. First, performing optimization with traditional techniques in a simulation setting is … address a number of policy questions that could not be fully addressed with the current stochastic simulation engine. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673352
A sequential Monte Carlo method for estimating GARCH models subject to an unknown number of structural breaks is proposed. Particle filtering techniques allow for fast and efficient updates of posterior quantities and forecasts in real time. The method conveniently deals with the path dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008558612
The authors examine simultaneously the causal links connecting monetary policy variables, real activity, and stock returns. Their interest lies in the fact that the dynamics of asset prices can provide key insights--in terms of information--for the conduct of monetary policy, since asset prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162529
A sequential Monte Carlo method for estimating GARCH models subject to an unknown number of structural breaks is proposed. Particle filtering techniques allow for fast and efficient updates of posterior quantities and forecasts in real time. The method conveniently deals with the path dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933353
simulation study is performed to compare the performance of the different weighting schemes. The simulation results show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162494
Stress testing, at its most general level, is an investigation of the performance of an entity under abnormal operating conditions. The authors focus on one set of entities--the Canadian banking sector--and investigate losses in the loans portfolio of this sector as a function of changing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808305