Showing 1 - 10 of 123
Real wage rigidities have recently been proposed as a way of building intrinsic persistence in inflation within the … and inflation in the New Keynesian Phillips curve. From a methodological perspective, these results derive from our … Curves hold promise empirically and provide interesting research directions. -- Inflation and prices ; Labour markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933276
The author proposes a new test for financial contagion based on a non-parametric measure of the cross-market correlation. The test does not depend on the assumption that the data are drawn from a given probability distribution; therefore, it allows for maximal flexibility in fitting into the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852845
This paper surveys the empirical literature on the benefits of low inflation emphasizing contributions since 1990. It … at the costs of inflation, or the benefits of price stability, in the context of four themes: inflation creates … uncertainty about the future; there are costs of having to cope with inflation; inflation affects equity and fairness; and 'living …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673238
A vector error-correction Model (VECM) that Forecasts inflation between the current quarter and eight quarters ahead is … found to privide significant leading information about inflation. The model focusses on th effects of deviations of M1 from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673307
This paper examines the performance of M1 in an indicator model of inflation over time horizons as long as 16 quarters … the deviations of M1 from its long-run path provide "distant-early-warning" information about the future path of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005536886
The purpose ot this study is to test the hypothesis that inflation uncertainty increases at higher levels of inflation … conditional variance of the error term to be time-varying. Since this variance is a proxy for inflation uncertainty, a positive … relationship between the conditional variance and inflation would be interpreted as evidence that inflation uncertainty increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808350
inflation and output dynamics in the United States. In particular, I find that real money balance effects are quantitatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933293
The authors document the out-of-sample forecasting accuracy of the New Keynesian model for Canada. They estimate their variant of the model on a series of rolling subsamples, computing out-of-sample forecasts one to eight quarters ahead at each step. They compare these forecasts with those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808339
We develop a finite-sample procedure to test the beta-pricing representation of linear factor pricing models that is applicable even if the number of test assets is greater than the length of the time series. Our distribution-free framework leaves open the possibility of unknown forms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008765828
The authors use the Financial Stress Index created by the International Monetary Fund to predict the likelihood of financial stress events for five developed countries: Canada, France, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States. They use a semiparametric panel data model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010658798