Showing 1 - 10 of 123
Inflation dynamics in advanced countries have produced two consecutive puzzles during the years after the global … financial crisis. The first puzzle emerged when inflation rates over the period 2009-11 were consistently higher than expected … today - was initially observed in 2012, when inflation rates in advanced countries were weakening rapidly despite the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010885041
inflation and output dynamics in the United States. In particular, I find that real money balance effects are quantitatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933293
The purpose ot this study is to test the hypothesis that inflation uncertainty increases at higher levels of inflation … conditional variance of the error term to be time-varying. Since this variance is a proxy for inflation uncertainty, a positive … relationship between the conditional variance and inflation would be interpreted as evidence that inflation uncertainty increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808350
This paper examines the performance of M1 in an indicator model of inflation over time horizons as long as 16 quarters … the deviations of M1 from its long-run path provide "distant-early-warning" information about the future path of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005536886
This paper surveys the empirical literature on the benefits of low inflation emphasizing contributions since 1990. It … at the costs of inflation, or the benefits of price stability, in the context of four themes: inflation creates … uncertainty about the future; there are costs of having to cope with inflation; inflation affects equity and fairness; and 'living …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673238
A vector error-correction Model (VECM) that Forecasts inflation between the current quarter and eight quarters ahead is … found to privide significant leading information about inflation. The model focusses on th effects of deviations of M1 from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673307
Macroeconomists have traditionally ignored the behavior of temporary price markdowns (“sales”) by retailers. Although sales are common in the micro price data, they are assumed to be unrelated to macroeconomic phenomena and generally filtered out. We challenge this view. First, using the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960391
effects of increasing import competition and lower inflation on the markup. This paper offers evidence on the evolution of the … markups for the Canadian business sector and 33 disaggregate industries over the 1961–2004 period. It is found that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005256658
We examine the extent to which vertical and horizontal market structure can together explain incomplete retail pass-through. To answer this question, we use scanner data from a large U.S. retailer to estimate product level pass-through for three different vertical structures: national brands,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010617509
Guided by a macroeconomic model in which non-energy commodity prices are endogenously determined, we apply a new factor-based identification strategy to decompose the historical sources of changes in commodity prices and global economic activity. The model yields a factor structure for commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849946