An economic tracking portfolio (ETP) is a portfolio of financial assets whose returns are correlated with some macroeconomic variable of interest. Specifically, an ETP is designed to track revisions to investors' expectations about the target macroeconomic variable. This paper evaluates whether...

We develop a simple bond pricing model to map the prices of individual EME sovereign bonds into term structures of implied (risk-neutral) default probabilities and expected recovery rates. Simple indices of bond spreads are found to be closely correlated with long-term risk neutral default...

Recent debate on the reform of the international financial architecture has highlighted the potentially important role of the official sector in crisis management. This paper examines how such public intervention in sovereign debt crises affects efficiency, ex ante and ex post. The results shed...