The observed decline in the relative price of investment goods in Japan suggests the existence of investment-specific technological (IST) changes. This paper examines whether IST changes are a major source of business fluctuations in Japan, by estimating a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium...

We present an empirical analysis on the New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve (NKWPC), which is derived by Gali (2011) as a micro-founded structural relationship between wage inflation and the unemployment rate under a sticky wage framework using data for Japan and the US. We find that the empirical...

This paper empirically examines the impact of financial constraints on Japanese firms' pricing behavior. In spite of a large swing in demand in the bubble era and the lost decade, aggregate prices did not fluctuate much in these periods. Such price rigidity can be explained by customer market...

In the standard new Keynesian models, the optimal inflation rate is zero while the long-run inflation rate is non-zero positive in many countries. In this paper, we provide a new rationale for the non-zero trend inflation by utilizing the productivity gap between the intermediate-goods sector...

After the collapse of the asset price bubble, especially over the period of declining prices of goods and services from the latter 1990s until recently, it is said that certain Japanese firms have been working to stimulate demand by active price adjustment. Nevertheless, over the same period,...

Typically, when using econometric techniques to forecast economic variables, estimation is carried out on a forecasting model that is built upon some assumed economic structure, based upon a priori knowledge and economic principles. However, such techniques cannot avoid running into the...

To analyze the relative price of nontradable to tradable goods, we build a two-country, two-sector dynamic open macro model that in based on consumers' intertemporal optimizing behavior. The model predicts that the relative price of nontradable goods depends on the cross-sectoral productivity...

This paper proposes a new econometric framework for estimating trend inflation and the slope of the Phillips curve with a regime-switching model. As a unique aspect of our approach, we assume regimes for the trend inflation at one-percent intervals, and estimate the probability of the trend...

This paper proposes and estimates an extended shadow-rate term structure model, and uses it to extract inflation risk premia from nominal and real term structures. Our model incorporates the shadow rate and thereby explicitly takes account of the zero lower bound constraint of nominal interest...

The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation equation of the Area Wide model (AWM) - cf. Fagan, Henry...