In this paper, we investigate interdependencies between Asia-Pacific economies by using the Asian International Input-Output Table. The results of production inducement analysis show that the production inducement coefficients of many Asia-Pacific countries have recently increased, and in...

This paper investigates the features and recent changes of China's industrial structure using input-output tables for different periods from 1997 to 2005. We find that the domestic production inducement coefficients of China's material and machinery industries have declined while the import...

In this paper, we set out the JEM (Japanese Economic Model), a large macroeconomic model of the Japanese Economy. Although the JEM is a theoretical model designed with a view to overcoming the Lucas (1976) critique of traditional large macroeconomic models, it can also be used for both...

This paper examines the effects of demographic changes in Japan upon the social security system, labor market, household savings rate, and economic growth. The results are, firstly, to confirm, in the face of these demographic changes, (1) the increasing difficulty of maintaining the current...

We construct Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) models optimized by the Posterior Information Criterion (PIC), in which hyper-parameters are data-determined in the same way as the lag length and trend order. We also assess the performance of the selected models by one-step ahead forecasts...

This paper analyzes the revision to Japan's labor productivity, measured using Japan's System of National Accounts (SNA) data. We draw three main findings from our analysis. First, SNA data has been substantially revised in and after the second comprehensive revisions, as well as at the earlier...

In this paper, we assess the effects of fiscal policy in Japan using two dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. One is a medium-scale DSGE model of Japan's economy ("M-JEM," Fueki et al., 2010) estimated using Bayesian techniques. The other is the IMF's multi-region "GIMF (Global...

This paper provides a brief explanation and a detailed documentation of the current version of the Quarterly Japanese Economic Model (Q-JEM), which has been developed and constantly updated since the mid-2000s at Research and Statistics Department, Bank of Japan. Q-JEM is a large-scale...