Showing 1 - 10 of 22
Efficient markets models assert that the price of each asset is equal to the optimal forecast of its ex-post or fundamental value. These models do not imply, however, that the covariance between two asset prices is given by the covariance between the ex-post values they respectively forecast:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463944
evaluate the leading role of the daily volatility of two major financial variables, namely commodity and stock prices, in their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815989
structure determines aggregate volatility. We show that the maximal aggregate volatility is attained in a noise free information … the common component, as in Lucas (1972). The upper bound on aggregate volatility is linearly increasing in the variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010817221
This paper analyzes the relationship between the volatility of corporate bond returns and standard financial and … volatility that distinguishes the short-term dynamics from the long-run component of volatility. Both the in-sample and out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010812479
asset to the riskless rate of interest. Finally, our Binomial Leverage-Volatility theorem provides a precise link between … leverage and volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895644
, and how it depends on volatility. We describe the dynamic feedback properties of leverage, volatility, and asset prices … cycle in which asset prices display clustered volatility and fat tails even though all the shocks are essentially Gaussian. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895688
volatility for a given distribution of the payoff states. We show that the maximal aggregate volatility is attained in a noise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895692
liquidity shock, separating information maximum likelihood estimation of the integrated volatility and covariance with micro … illustrations, EVT and tail-risk modelling, with evidence from market indices and volatility series, the economics of data using … simple model free volatility in a high frequency world, arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces for options on single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778692
correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns, pricing exotic options using the Wang transform …, the rise and fall of S&P500 variance futures, predicting volatility using Markov switching multifractal model: evidence …, forecasting volatility via stock return, range, trading volume and spillover effects: the case of Brazil, estimating and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778693
This paper analyzes two indexes in order to capture the volatility inherent in El Niños Southern Oscillations (ENSO … suitable for modelling ENSO volatility accurately, and that 1998 is a turning point, which indicates that the ENSO strength has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778703