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the naive one by a factor of 2 to 3. The relationships for inflation were successfully tested for cointegration. We have … and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109998
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, π(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … and 2004. The relationship is tested for cointegration. All three variables involved in the relationship are proved to be … integrated of order one. Two methods of cointegration testing are used. First is the Engle-Granger approach based on the unit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835964
Previously, a linear and lagged relationship between inflation and labor force change rate, π(t)= A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1 … (RMFSE) of 0.8% at a two-year horizon for the period between 1965 and 2002 (the best among other inflation forecasting models …) and has a perfect parsimony - only one predictor. The relationship is tested for cointegration. Both variables are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836346
The aim of this article is to assess the empirical evidence of the nexus between public expenditure and inflation for …(2) process. Moreover, we find a long-run relationship between the growth of public expenditure and inflation only for … inflation for Cyprus, Malta and Spain; of a bidirectional flow for Italy; and from inflation to public expenditure for France …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008804692
This paper discusses the econometric model of inflation processes in the Republic of Belarus which makes it possible to … econometrics: cointegration analysis and error-correction models. The model has good statistical properties, it demonstrates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561160
Inflation has been the major global economic problem for most economies throughout the world over the last three … money. According to this hypothesis, inflation results solely from a maintained expansion of the money stock at rates in …, which may have influenced prices, were included in the cointegration regressions. Second, the finding of a unidirectional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258231
assumption improves the fit of the inflation equation. Third, this assumption is necessary for getting an important reduction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293540
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
procedure to Euro Area inflation, we find strong evidence of convergence among the inflation rates soon after the implementation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596394
monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816004