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Gram-Charlier expansion have become popular in Finance as a generalization over the normality assumption. Even though Gram-Charlier expansions allow for a certain flexibility over skewness and kurtosis they have the unfortunate drawback of sometimes yielding negative densities. The goal of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005487055
Recent portfolio choice asset pricing and option valuation models highlight the importance of skewness and kurtosis. Since skewness and kurtosis are related to extreme variations they are also important for Value-at-Risk measurements. Our framework builds on a GARCH model with a condi-tional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005487056
This study identifies common features of currency crises in 15 emerging countries over the period 1980-1998. By analyzinf such features, we build an early-warning system aimed at predicting looming crises in probabilistic terms.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005646659
This paper uses daily exchange rates from the mark/franc, dollar/mark and dollar/yen markets in the period between November 2, 1994 and September 21, 1995, to examine the predictive content of two option-implied indicators on future spot rates.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005646666
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671922
This paper studies firms' price-setting decision during a currency changeover. Buyers' difficulties with the new nominal price level create incentives to raise prices temporarily but doing so comes at the risk of damaging a seller's reputation in the long run. We model firms' trade-off and study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010534896
assumption improves the fit of the inflation equation. Third, this assumption is necessary for getting an important reduction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293540
return on assets is determined by incentives eliciting voluntary debt repayment. I show that the inflation rate or, more …, money is used in equilibrium and the optimal inflation rate is positive. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320820
This paper explores how different types of financial regulation could combat many of the phenomena that were observed in the financial crisis of 2007 to 2009. The primary contribution is the introduction of a model that includes both a banking system and a “shadow banking system” that each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815967
monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816004