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monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528492
exclusively on the anchoring of short- to medium-term inflation expectations (Part 2). Several measures show that this anchoring … expectations has on the determination of the short- to medium-term inflation rate. From this point of view, observed inflation in … on the other aspect of monetary stability: the degree of price-level uncertainty and the anchoring of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056542
In this paper, we propose a simple econometric framework to disentangle the respective roles of monetary policy inertia and persistent shocks in interest rate rules. The procedure exploits the cross-equation restrictions provided by a DSGE model which is confronted to a monetary SVAR. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082518
-through estimates have declined in response to a change in inflation environment and find evidence of such decline only for import …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009275674
In this paper, we empirically examine the effect of inflation targeting on the exchange rate pass-through to prices in … inflation targeters and twelve inflation nontargeters). Our evidence suggests that inflation targeting in emerging countries … the contribution of exchange rate shocks to price fluctuations in emerging targeters declines after adopting inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692971
We introduce a new measure called Inflation-at-Risk (I@R) associated with (left and right) tail inflation risk. We … estimate I@R using survey-based density forecasts. We show that it contains information not covered by usual inflation risk … indicators which focus on inflation uncertainty and do not distinguish between the risks of low or high future inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815970
unemployment rate has increased and economic activity has been sluggish. Changes in the implicit inflation target, viewed as low … frequency movements of inflation, might possibly explain these developments. To highlight this issue, the present study … estimates the dynamics of the implicit inflation target in the euro zone over the period 1970Q1-2004Q4. Based on a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008477171
responses of output, inflation, labor share and the nominal interest rate to a supply shock as identified through a structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528507
--run effect on inflation as well as other nominal variables cointegrating with inflation. These shocks are found to generate large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531414