Showing 1 - 10 of 36
This paper aims at evaluating the impact of globalization, if any, on inflation and the inflation process. We estimate … commodity import price inflation on CPI inflation depends on the volume of commodity imports while the impact of non …-commodity import price inflation is independent of the volume of non-commodity imports. Second, focusing on the role of intra …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528501
In order to provide medium run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for the euro area, we assess the … indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if … in inflation in a timely manner. But, from that point of view, the construction of a ''synthetic core'' indicator helps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056518
In order to provide short run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for France, we assess the forecasting …. Moreover, we show that it is possible to use forecasts on this indicator to project overall inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056546
The decline in the sensitivity of inflation to domestic slack observed in developed countries over the last 25 years … also the bigger ones) enter the export market. They tend to transmit less marginal cost fluctuations into inflation because … the proportion of large firms reduces the pass-through of marginal cost into inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196011
We document the presence of both small and large price changes in individual price records from the CPI in France and the US. After correcting for measurement error and cross-section heterogeneity, the size-distribution of price changes has a positive excess kurtosis. We propose an analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816006
tight inflation-targeting policy can lower expectational complementarity preventing rational exuberance, although its effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816012
potential output growth and the attendant and partly temporary slowdown in inflation. Assessing the NE is however a complicated … long-run perspective, the central bank could capitalise on the NE to set lower inflation targets. In the short to medium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056529
This paper presents the recent developments of macro-econometric modelling and discusses their advantages and limits. We first present the Sims critique and the Lucas critique. These two critiques have opened two new ways of macro-modelling. On the one hand, the Structural VAR approach allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056533
This paper presents a model of the portfolio and financing adjustments of U.S. banks over the business cycle. At the core of the model is a moral hazard problem between depositors/bank regulators and stockholders. The solution to this problem takes the form of shared management of the bank....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036174
What factors cause banks to lend to the private sector in a bank-based financial system like the ones in place in Europe? In this paper we compare a traditional demand oriented model to a non-traditional capital budgeting model of bank lending based on movements in the equity cost of capital for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036180