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exclusively on the anchoring of short- to medium-term inflation expectations (Part 2). Several measures show that this anchoring … expectations has on the determination of the short- to medium-term inflation rate. From this point of view, observed inflation in … on the other aspect of monetary stability: the degree of price-level uncertainty and the anchoring of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056542
should not affect agents' expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both long- and … short-term inflation expectations are sensitive to policy-related uncertainty shocks. While economic activity contracts …, long-term inflation expectations raise in response to such shocks. These results suggest that observed uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010937890
bank since it focuses directly on inflation. Thus, the paper considers the reduced Phillips equation, assuming a stable … relationship between inflation and some kind of demand disequilibrium index, as the most promising starting point to estimate an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005646665
In this paper, we estimate two small, forward-looking, macroeconomic models for the US and Germany and we compare the implied optimal monetary policy rules.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005781184
stylized OLG model of inflation the central bank (CB) can set money supply in response to the current price. The CB has perfect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815968
monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528492
Estimating a forward-looking monetary policy rule by the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) has become a popular approach since the influential paper by Clarida, Gali, and Gertler (1998). However, an abundant econometric literature underlines the unappealing small-samples properties of GMM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671910
return on assets is determined by incentives eliciting voluntary debt repayment. I show that the inflation rate or, more …, money is used in equilibrium and the optimal inflation rate is positive. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320820
We address in this paper the issue of leadership when two governments provide public goods to their constituencies with cross border externalities as both public goods are valued by consumers in both countries. We study a timing game between two different countries: before providing public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008479240