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potential output growth and the attendant and partly temporary slowdown in inflation. Assessing the NE is however a complicated … long-run perspective, the central bank could capitalise on the NE to set lower inflation targets. In the short to medium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056529
In this paper, we try to illustrate the interest of the Bayesian approach for the evaluation of economic policies, often realised by analysing the response of the economy to a standard shock. We present a Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium model for the euro area. The Bayesian estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034721
Monetary union can benefit countries suffering from policy credibility problems if it eliminates the inflation bias and … union may be welfare improving even for low-modest levels of inflation bias (2-3%) as long as business cycles are not too a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764497
a simple interest-rate rule targeting inflation; and it also allows large adjustments in the money supply, a property …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503196
In this article, we analyze the US short term real interest rate series for the last five decades in the framework of a M-SETAR model (Momentum - Self Exciting Threshold Auto-Regressive). With the aim of disentangling the non-linearity from the non-stationarity cases, we use threshold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528500
The recent boom in housing markets of most developed economies has spurred criticism that inflation targeting central …, using a standard program evaluation methodology to correct for a possible bias due to self-selection into inflation … targeting. We consider 17 industrial economies over 1980-2006, among which nine countries have targeted inflation a some dates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577792
We document the presence of both small and large price changes in individual price records from the CPI in France and the US. After correcting for measurement error and cross-section heterogeneity, the size-distribution of price changes has a positive excess kurtosis. We propose an analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816006
tight inflation-targeting policy can lower expectational complementarity preventing rational exuberance, although its effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816012
Reserve (FED) from 1960 until 2006. It suggests that monetary policy accommodated inflation during the 60s and the 70s whereas … the chairmanship of P. Volcker was a turning point toward a more aggressive stance on inflation. In addition, monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998847
What factors cause banks to lend to the private sector in a bank-based financial system like the ones in place in Europe? In this paper we compare a traditional demand oriented model to a non-traditional capital budgeting model of bank lending based on movements in the equity cost of capital for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036180