Showing 1 - 10 of 54
Aggregate consumption growth risk explains why low interest rate currencies do not appreciate as much as the interest rate differential and why high interest rate currencies do not depreciate as much as the interest rate differential. Domestic investors earn negative excess returns on low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082517
Speculators can discover whether a signal is true or false by processing it but this takes time. Hence they face a trade-off between trading fast on a signal (i.e., before processing it), at the risk of trading on a false news, or trading after processing the signal, at the risk that prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938543
This paper proposes a framework to analyze the functioning of the inter-bank liquidity market and the occurrence of liquidity crises. The model relies on three key assumptions: (i) liquidity provisioning is not verifiable -it cannot be contracted upon-, (ii) banks face moral hazard when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036213
of deposit insurance adoption on individual bank leverage. Using a panel of banks across 117 countries during the period … 1986-2011, I show that deposit insurance adoption pushes banks to increase significantly their leverage by reducing their … capital buffer. This increase in bank leverage then translates into higher probability of insolvency. Most importantly, I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929763
process driving financial shocks to the leverage ratio, the responses of output and other aggregates under adaptive learning … are significantly larger than under rational expectations. In our benchmark case calibrated using US data on leverage …, debt-to-GDP and land value-to-GDP ratios for 1996Q1-2008Q4, learning amplifies leverage shocks by a factor of about three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815952
We study the problem of a leveraged investor that is forced to unwind a significant fraction of its portfolio in a collection of illiquid markets. It is shown that markets may become disrupted in response to a relatively small liquidity shock. As a consequence, the probability of default can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998828
This article proposes a theoretical framework to investigate economic robustness to exogenous shocks such as natural disasters. It is based on a dynamic model that represents a regional economy as a network of production units through the disaggregation of sectorscale Input-Output tables....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009386427
The Gram-Charlier expansion, where skewness and kurtosi directly appear as parameters, has become popular in Finance as a generalization of the normal density. We show how positivity constraints can be numerically implemented, thereby guaranteeing that the expansion defines a density. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036204
Gram-Charlier expansion have become popular in Finance as a generalization over the normality assumption. Even though Gram-Charlier expansions allow for a certain flexibility over skewness and kurtosis they have the unfortunate drawback of sometimes yielding negative densities. The goal of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005487055
This paper investigates the extent to which cross-country differences in aggregate participation rates can be explained by divergence in tax-benefit systems. We take the example of two countries, the Czech Republic and Hungary, which – despite a lot of similarities – differ markedly in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156829