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can explain the observed evidence while productivity increases (anticipated or not) cannot: falling borrowing costs … implies appreciation while increasing productivity implies depreciation. Quantitatively, anticipated shocks account for one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815969
Monetary authorities in emerging markets are often reluctant to raise interest rates when dealing with credit booms driven by capital inflows, as they fear that an increase attracts even more capital and appreciates the currency. A number of countries therefore use reserve requirements as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010540385
A stable net external position requires that the trade balance responds negatively to changes in the net external position. If financial integration makes financing external imbalances less costly, we expect slower external adjustment in more integrated economies. The study estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815960
This paper estimates export and import price equations for 40 countries – including 19 emerging market economies (EMEs) – and aims to understand heterogeneity across countries in the degree of exchange rate pass-through to import and to export prices. Results indicate that (i) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610697
This paper investigates the role of labor markets heterogeneity in a monetary union and especially what are the welfare gains/costs of labor market reforms for each member of the area. To this end, we develop a medium-scale two-country model representing a currency union characterized by price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528499
This paper presents the recent developments of macro-econometric modelling and discusses their advantages and limits. We first present the Sims critique and the Lucas critique. These two critiques have opened two new ways of macro-modelling. On the one hand, the Structural VAR approach allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056533
Rapid credit growth in the EU new Member States, acceding and candidate countries has raised the issue of financial stability in the region. This rapid credit growth has been accompanied by the deterioration in the current account balance and the large-scale distribution of foreign currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391779
The surge in capital inflows towards emerging countries after 2009 has revived the debate about capital controls. This paper analyzes some of the international implications of restrictions on capital inflows. Focusing on a sample of Latin-American countries, we use detailed balance of payments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399335
We study the extent to which uncertainty in advanced country macroeconomic policy spills over to emerging markets via portfolio bond and equity flows. We find that increases in US policy uncertainty significantly reduce portfolio bond and equity flows into EMEs. Conversely, increases in EU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010661255
This paper shows how interbank market fragmentation disrupts monetary policy implementation. Fragmentation is defined as the situation where some banks are cut from the interbank loan market. The paper incorporates fragmentation in an otherwise standard theoretical model of monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099532