Showing 1 - 10 of 81
monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528492
exclusively on the anchoring of short- to medium-term inflation expectations (Part 2). Several measures show that this anchoring … expectations has on the determination of the short- to medium-term inflation rate. From this point of view, observed inflation in … on the other aspect of monetary stability: the degree of price-level uncertainty and the anchoring of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056542
Estimating a forward-looking monetary policy rule by the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) has become a popular approach since the influential paper by Clarida, Gali, and Gertler (1998). However, an abundant econometric literature underlines the unappealing small-samples properties of GMM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671910
In short-term forecasting, it is essential to take into account all available information on the current state of the economic activity. Yet, the fact that various time series are sampled at different frequencies prevents an efficient use of available data. In this respect, the Mixed-Data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010961062
main, fixed-effect, model highlights the crucial role of GDP growth, public deficit and debt liquidity in explaining the … level of spreads, while the public debt-to-GDP ratio plays a lesser role. We find that our results are mainly driven by … debt-to-GDP ratio, and potential GDP growth, with a larger impact of the latter variable. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815955
In this paper we argue that banks anticipate short-term market rates when setting interest rates on loans and deposits. In order to include anticipated rates in an empirical model, we use two methods to forecast market rates - a level, slope, curvature model and a principal components model -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009651277
Using two estimated models for the euro area and the United States, this paper investigates whether the observed difference in the amplitude of the interest rate cycle since 1999 in both areas is due to differences in the estimated monetary policy reaction function, differences in the structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998810
In this paper we propose an approach to Asset Liability Management of various institutions, in particular insurance companies, based on a dual VaR constraint for the asset and the surplus. A key ingredient of this approach is a flexible modelling of the term structure of interest rates leading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531413
The distribution of money across households is much more similar to the distribution of financial assets than to that of consumption levels. This is a puzzle for theories which directly link money demand to consumption. This paper shows that the joint distribution of money and financial assets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680674