The paper develops a model for forecasting inflation in France. As this model has to be integrated in the Eurosystem …

With the European economic integration, the understanding of inflation and inflationary pressures requires to analyse … both the national level and the whole Euro area level. This is true in particular for the inflation forecasts that are … forward a simple model of short-term developments (one year ahead) in inflation, as measured by the Harmonized Index of …

In order to provide medium run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for the euro area, we assess the … indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if … in inflation in a timely manner. But, from that point of view, the construction of a ''synthetic core'' indicator helps …

and its contribution to inflation movements. We model the price series as I(2) components and use polynomial cointegration … inflation through an error-correcting mechanism. Structural and forecasting equations exhibiting good performance are therefore …

In order to provide short run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for France, we assess the forecasting …. Moreover, we show that it is possible to use forecasts on this indicator to project overall inflation. …

Recent studies emphasize that survey-based inflation risk measures are informative about future inflation and thus …-frequency financial market data have predictive power for the low-frequency survey-based inflation risk indicators observed at the end of …

concepts, in particular for inflation. We show that exploiting more information is important for accurate estimation of the …

assumption improves the fit of the inflation equation. Third, this assumption is necessary for getting an important reduction of …

monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …

We study the behavior of inflation rates among the 12 initial Euro countries in order to test whether and when the … this new procedure to Euro area inflation, we find strong and lasting evidence of convergence among the inflation rates … the occurrence of the single currency. After the 2008 crisis, Euro area inflation rates follow the ECB’s price stability …