Showing 1 - 10 of 167
monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816004
This paper aims at evaluating the impact of globalization, if any, on inflation and the inflation process. We estimate … commodity import price inflation on CPI inflation depends on the volume of commodity imports while the impact of non …-commodity import price inflation is independent of the volume of non-commodity imports. Second, focusing on the role of intra …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528501
The decline in the sensitivity of inflation to domestic slack observed in developed countries over the last 25 years … also the bigger ones) enter the export market. They tend to transmit less marginal cost fluctuations into inflation because … the proportion of large firms reduces the pass-through of marginal cost into inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196011
assumption improves the fit of the inflation equation. Third, this assumption is necessary for getting an important reduction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293540
We study the behavior of inflation rates among the 12 initial Euro countries in order to test whether and when the … this new procedure to Euro area inflation, we find strong and lasting evidence of convergence among the inflation rates … the occurrence of the single currency. After the 2008 crisis, Euro area inflation rates follow the ECB’s price stability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019288
We introduce a new measure called Inflation-at-Risk (I@R) associated with (left and right) tail inflation risk. We … estimate I@R using survey-based density forecasts. We show that it contains information not covered by usual inflation risk … indicators which focus on inflation uncertainty and do not distinguish between the risks of low or high future inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815970
Designing an investment strategy in transition economies is a difficult task, because stock markets opened through time, time series are short, and there is little guidance how to obtain expected returns and covariance matrices necessary for mean-variance asset allocation. Moments of market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056532
When supervisors have imperfect information about the soundness of banks, they may be unaware of insolvency problems that develop in the interval between on-site examinations. Supervising banks more often will alleviate this problem but will increase the costs of supervision. This paper analyzes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056536
In this paper, we attempt to analyse the relationship between house price developments and the business cycle. Employing a time-varying transition probability Markov switching framework, we provide empirical evidence that house price growth may prove a useful leading indicator for turning point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008765722
This paper quantifies the effects on welfare of misspecified monetary policy objectives in a stylized DSGE model. We show that using inappropriate objectives generates relatively large welfare costs. When expressed in terms of ‘consumption equivalent’ units, these costs correspond to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854100