In this paper, we present a general discrete-time affine framework aimed at jointly modeling yield curves associated with different debtors. The underlying fixed-income securities may differ in terms of credit quality and/or in terms of liquidity. The risk factors follow conditionally Gaussian...

In this paper, we propose a model of the joint dynamics of euro-area sovereign yield curves. The arbitrage-free valuation framework involves five factors and two regimes, one of the latter being interpreted as a crisis regime. These common factors and regimes explain most of the fluctuations in...

By introducing a structure of the balance sheets of the banks, which takes into account their bilateral exposures in terms of stocks or lendings, we get a structural model for default analysis. This model allows distinguishing the exogenous and endogenous default dependence. We prove the...

The acceleration of the firm failure rate in France between 2008 and 2010 was preceded by a surge in the number of firms’ creations in 2003-2004. Therefore, identifying the impact of the 2008 crisis requires to distinguish, among the failures occurring over the period, those resulting from the...

In order to assess transmission mechanisms between global and domestic house prices, and possibly contagion effects, we use a large database of macroeconomic variables for OECD countries. We extract common factors to summarize the comovements of the variables and include them in stationary FAVAR...

Using a large sample of accounting data for non-financial companies in France, this paper studies the interactions between macroeconomic shocks and companies' financial fragility. We consider links in both directions, namely whether firms' bankruptcies are affected by macroeconomic variables,...

Apres une description rapide des caracteristiques respectives des echantillons de certificats de depot, cette note examine successivement les comportements selon les differents types d'emetteurs et de souscripteurs, et les consequences de ces distinctions sur les arbitrages operes sur le marche...

Pour expliquer l'existence de règles de «stop-loss» dans les institutions financières, nous développons un modèle principal-agent, où une firme d'investissement (le principal) doit faire appel à l'expertise d'un opérateur (l'agent) pour investir dans un actif risqué et sophistiqué...

Si les stocks ou encours de credits detenus par les banques sont bien connus et permettent une mesure de differents risques bancaires, il n'existe en revanche aujourdh'hui en matiere de credit aucune information d'ensemble sur la production. En d'autres termes, peu de donnees sont disponibles au...

les conditions de financement des banques contribuent a expliquer leur comportement et en particulier les modifications de leur offre de pret a la suite de differents chocs. Dans cet article nous utilisons des donnees sur les emissions de certificats de depots francais pour etudier la...