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monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816004
unemployment rate has increased and economic activity has been sluggish. Changes in the implicit inflation target, viewed as low … frequency movements of inflation, might possibly explain these developments. To highlight this issue, the present study … estimates the dynamics of the implicit inflation target in the euro zone over the period 1970Q1-2004Q4. Based on a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008477171
In this article we estimate a time-varying " natural " rate of interest (TVNRI) for a synthetic euro area over the period 1979Q1-2002Q4 using a small backward-looking macroeconomic model, broadly following a methodology developed by Laubach and Williams (2003) for the United States. The Kalman...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056544
We study the behavior of inflation rates among the 12 initial Euro countries in order to test whether and when the … this new procedure to Euro area inflation, we find strong and lasting evidence of convergence among the inflation rates … the occurrence of the single currency. After the 2008 crisis, Euro area inflation rates follow the ECB’s price stability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019288
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528492
exclusively on the anchoring of short- to medium-term inflation expectations (Part 2). Several measures show that this anchoring … expectations has on the determination of the short- to medium-term inflation rate. From this point of view, observed inflation in … on the other aspect of monetary stability: the degree of price-level uncertainty and the anchoring of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056542
We estimate the reaction function of monetary policy in the Euro area and derive the Taylor-type policy rule that a would-be ECB would have followed since the beginning of the European Monetary System (1979-2003). We first follow the standard GMM methodology developed by Clarida, Galí and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056522
--run effect on inflation as well as other nominal variables cointegrating with inflation. These shocks are found to generate large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531414
This paper challenges the assumption that the inflation process within the euro area is well-described by a linear … Phillips curve and investigates in a nonparametric framework how inflation is sensitive to output growth. An asymmetric output-inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998830
assumption improves the fit of the inflation equation. Third, this assumption is necessary for getting an important reduction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293540