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exclusively on the anchoring of short- to medium-term inflation expectations (Part 2). Several measures show that this anchoring … is effective. Modern New Keynesian theory is an appropriate framework for analysing the impact that this anchoring of … expectations has on the determination of the short- to medium-term inflation rate. From this point of view, observed inflation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056542
monetary policy in the United States, in particular its interaction with the formation of inflation expectations and the … linkages between monetary policy, inflation expectations and the behaviour of CPI inflation. We use Livingston Survey data for … expected inflation, measured at a bi-annual frequency, actual inflation, unemployment and a nominal interest rate to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528492
Estimating a forward-looking monetary policy rule by the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) has become a popular approach since the influential paper by Clarida, Gali, and Gertler (1998). However, an abundant econometric literature underlines the unappealing small-samples properties of GMM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671910
In this paper, we, seek to characterize the dynamic effects of permanent technology shocks and the way in which US monetary authorities reacted to these shocks over the sample 1955(1)--2002(4). To do so, we develop an augmented sticky price-sticky wage model of the business cycle, which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056524
In this paper, we seek to characterize the dynamic effects of permanent technology shocks and the way in which European monetary authorities reacted to these shocks over the past two decades. To do so, we develop an augmented sticky price-sticky wage model of the business cycle, which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056527
In this paper, we propose a simple econometric framework to disentangle the respective roles of monetary policy inertia and persistent shocks in interest rate rules. The procedure exploits the cross-equation restrictions provided by a DSGE model which is confronted to a monetary SVAR. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082518
unemployment rate has increased and economic activity has been sluggish. Changes in the implicit inflation target, viewed as low … frequency movements of inflation, might possibly explain these developments. To highlight this issue, the present study … estimates the dynamics of the implicit inflation target in the euro zone over the period 1970Q1-2004Q4. Based on a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008477171
responses of output, inflation, labor share and the nominal interest rate to a supply shock as identified through a structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528507
episode techniques, we identify disinflation shocks as shocks that drive the inflation rate to a lower level in the long … inflation rate increases above its long-run level and exhibits a positive hump-shaped response. A similar pattern is found for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998837