Showing 1 - 10 of 86
sustain over the long run giventhe relatively finite total volume of savings, should not lead to theunderestimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010928890
In a context of declining housing sales and decreasing prices, the annual survey on housing finance carried out by the Autorité de Contrôle prudentiel et de Résolution (ACPR) recorded a 27.6% decrease in loans extended in 2012. Outstanding loans experienced their lowest annual growth since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929736
This study provides responses to the question of the effectiveness of Loan-To-Value (LTV) and Debt Service-To-Income (DSTI) caps to contribute to financial stability. Using a lender’s risk management perspective, the paper provides a new methodology extending the standard asymptotic single...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929761
expected returns, not explained by the consumption-wealth ratio. Moreover, this paper shows that the (C)CAPM with habit …Based on CAMPBELL and COCHRANE [1999] Consumption-Based Asset Pricing Model (C)CAPM with habit formation, this paper … surplus consumption ratio is a strong predictor of excess returns at long-horizons and that it captures a component of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815980
This paper analyzes the wealth effect on consumption in France by relying on two original household surveys. First, it … on household self-assessed changes in future consumption (survey PATER). Besides the direct wealth effect, our results … provides the first estimate of the marginal propensity to consume out of wealth based on micro data for France (Enquête …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352245
This paper studies the relationship between consumption and wealth based on the concept of cointegration. The analysis … Propensity to Consume out of wealth (MPC) and in terms of Elasticity of consumption to wealth. Three concepts of consumption are … increase (decrease) in total wealth of one euro would lead to an increase (decrease) of 1 cent in total consumption. In terms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503198
Over the last decade, France and Spain have experienced property price and residential investment increases which were among the strongest and the lengthiest in the euro area. Although the quality of the underlying data limits the precision of the estimates, the present paper aims at analysing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503204
In this paper, we attempt to analyse the relationship between house price developments and the business cycle. Employing a time-varying transition probability Markov switching framework, we provide empirical evidence that house price growth may prove a useful leading indicator for turning point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008765722
The paper attempts to provide, for housing markets, evidence of "shift-contagion" at the international level, i. e. regime shifts in the transmission of asset prices during crisis periods. The focus is in particular on UK and Spain. We use a Markov Switching FAVAR framework and regime-dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008682873
We analyze the term structure of real interest rates in a general equilibrium model with incomplete markets and borrowing constraints. Agents are subject to both aggregate and idiosyncratic income shocks, which latter may force them into early portfolio liquidation in a bad aggregate state. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692972