unemployment rate has increased and economic activity has been sluggish. Changes in the implicit inflation target, viewed as low … frequency movements of inflation, might possibly explain these developments. To highlight this issue, the present study … estimates the dynamics of the implicit inflation target in the euro zone over the period 1970Q1-2004Q4. Based on a small …

responses of output, inflation, labor share and the nominal interest rate to a supply shock as identified through a structural …

episode techniques, we identify disinflation shocks as shocks that drive the inflation rate to a lower level in the long … inflation rate increases above its long-run level and exhibits a positive hump-shaped response. A similar pattern is found for …

fails at reproducing the spectrum of inflation. This unfortunate conclusion is robust to numerous alternative specifications. …

found to help rationalizing the hump-shaped response of inflation, without resorting to the counterfactual assumption of …

The Euro area as a whole has experienced a marked downward trend in inflation over the past decades and, concomitantly … these dynamics? To answer this question, we embed serially correlated changes in the inflation target into a DSGE model with … real and nominal frictions. The formal Bayesian estimation of the model suggests that gradual changes in the inflation …