Showing 1 - 10 of 168
We construct credit risk indicators for euro area banks and non-financial corporations. These are the average spreads … divergence in credit spreads for financial firms across national boundaries. This divergence in cross-country credit risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010764941
demand in the corporate debt market. We take into account the effect of the competitive environment, as well as the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528509
This paper shows that the Fed reacts to change in spreads between corporate bond yields and government bond yields over and beyond their information content on future inflation and future activity. This result, obtained in a GMM framework, is confirmed by simulation methods. Moreover, when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056506
This paper investigates the properties of the decomposition of a time series presented in a companion paper (Lacroix, (2008)). The procedure relies upon an extension of Beveridge-Nelson methodology. We focus on its empirical implementation and show the need for additional steps in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528502
Short-term analysis is generally performed with seasonally adjusted data from which further estimation of the business cycle is performed through well-known filters (HP, Baxter-King). However, the whole procedure is not fully consistent, because seasonal adjustment and trend-cycle estimation do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528510
general class of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models, characterized by both a leverage effect and jumps in returns … provides a feasible basis for undertaking the nontrivial task of model comparison. Furthermore, we introduce new volatility … model, namely SV-GARCH which attempts to bridge the gap between GARCH and stochastic volatility specifications. In nesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854101
This paper develops a simple business-cycle model in which financial shocks have large macroeconomic effects when private agents are gradually learning their economic environment. When agents update their beliefs about the unobserved process driving financial shocks to the leverage ratio, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815952
’s calibration implying a higher re-hiring probability and lower recruitment costs for unskilled workers, explains the volatility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815961
discusses its implications for the business cycle. The source of financial fragility is the socially excessive risk-taking by …) policy dedicates the prudential instrument to preventing inefficient risk-taking by banks; and the monetary instrument to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816018
This paper provides an analysis of co-movements between real and financial variables in three new EU member countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland) and the euro area. It focuses on the co-movement between real credit granted to firms and real industrial output on the one hand, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998815