Showing 1 - 10 of 12
We show the existence of a very short-term relationship at the daily frequency between changes in the price of a country's major commodity export price and changes in its nominal exchange rate. The relationship appears to be robust and to hold when we use contemporaneous (realized) commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011118618
This paper studies optimal monetary policy in a framework that explicitly accounts for policymakers uncertainty about … approach proposed by Cogley and Sargent (2005b) to incorporate model uncertainty and learning into policy decisions. In this … presence of model uncertainty itself. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547167
the policy maker to face the problem of model uncertainty. Then, I use the Bayesian approach proposed by Brock, Durlauf … uncertainty into policy evaluation. I find that, in the environment under analysis, the standard Taylor rule is out performed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547289
's uncertainty along a two-stage process, where he must first preselect a subset of alternatives from which to make a final choice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010773127
, uncertainty reduces political myopia and may, under some conditions, increase social welfare. We use the model to study how … documented in this paper: aggregate uncertainty, measured by economic volatility, is associated to better fiscal discipline in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010592541
There are many situations in which individuals have a choice of whether or not to observe eventual outcomes. In these instances, individuals often prefer to remain ignorant. These contexts are outside the scope of analysis of the standard von Neumann-Morgenstern (vNM) expected utility model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547096
, uncertainty makes reforms more politically viable and may, under some conditions, increase social welfare. The model is then used … uncertainty is associated to more reforms in a panel of 20 OECD countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547124
Prez-Castrillo and Wettstein (2002) and Veszteg (2004) propose the use of a multibidding mechanism for situations where agents have to choose a common project. Examples are decisions involving public goods (or public "bads"). We report experimental results to test the practical tractability and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547209
Ethical Observer (EO) who maximizes intertemporal welfare under this uncertainty, with expected-utility preferences. Various … diverges, then we prove it is optimal for the extended Rawlsian to ignore the uncertainty concerning the possible disappearance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547285
, uncertainty makes reforms more politically viable and may, under some conditions, increase social welfare. The model is then used … uncertainty is associated to more reforms in a panel of 20 OECD countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547396