Showing 1 - 10 of 62
We explore a view of the crisis as a shock to investor sentiment that led to the collapse of a bubble or pyramid scheme in financial markets. We embed this view in a standard model of the financial accelerator and explore its empirical and policy implications. In particular, we show how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851442
Balance sheet recessions result from concentration of macroeconomic risks on the balance sheets of leveraged agents. In this paper, I argue that information dispersion about the future states of the economy combined with trading frictions in financial markets can explain why such concentration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123587
This paper argues that in the presence of intersectoral input-output linkages, microeconomic idiosyncratic shocks may lead to aggregate fluctuations. In particular, it shows that, as the economy becomes more disaggregated, the rate at which aggregate volatility decays is determined by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851431
Over the past two decades, technological progress in the United States has been biased towards skilled labor. What does this imply for business cycles? We construct a quarterly skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run restrictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547348
Recent research in macroeconomics emphasizes the role of wage rigidity in ac- counting for the volatility of unemployment fluctuations. We use worker-level data from the CPS to measure the sensitivity of wages of newly hired workers to changes in aggregate labor market conditions. The wage of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550421
financial crises. We show that gross capital flows by foreigners and domestic agents are very large and volatile, especially … domestic agents tend to invest more abroad. During crises, there is retrenchment, i.e. a reduction in capital inflows by … foreigners and an increase in capital inflows by domestic agents. This is especially true during severe crises and during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547169
This paper presents a unified framework of different algorithms to numerically compute high order expansions of invariant manifolds associated to a steady state of a dynamical system. The framework is inspired in the parameterization method of Cabr, Fontich and de la Llave [7], and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547374
A method to estimate DSGE models using the raw data is proposed. The approach links the observables to the model counterparts via a flexible specification which does not require the model-based component to be solely located at business cycle frequencies, allows the non model-based component to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550914
Major bubble episodes are rare events. In this paper, we examine what factors might cause some asset price bubbles to become very large. We recreate, in a laboratory setting, some of the specific institutional features investors in the South Sea Company faced in 1720. Several factors have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851451
We analyze the determinants of real estate and credit bubbles using a unique borrower-lender matched dataset on mortgage loans in Spain. The dataset contain real estate credit and price conditions (loan principal and spread, and the appraisal and market price) at the mortgage level, matched with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796239