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Suppose that individual payoffs depend on the network connecting them. Consider the following simultaneous move game of … network formation: players announce independently the links they wish to form, and links are formed only under mutual consent …. We provide necessary and sufficient conditions on the network link marginal payoffs such that the set of pairwise stable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547332
Whereas much literature has documented difficulties in making probabilistic inferences, it has also emphasized the importance of task characteristics in determining judgmental accuracy. Noting that people exhibit remarkable efficiency in encoding frequency information sequentially, we construct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547101
that this network perspective on production linkages can offer novel insights on the sources of aggregate fluctuations. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272282
Online appendix to Barcelona GSE Working Paper No. 684
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851404
The frequentist and the Bayesian approach to the estimation of autoregressions are often contrasted. Under standard assumptions, when the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimate is close to 1, a frequentist adjusts it upwards to counter the small sample bias, while a Bayesian who uses a at prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019705
This paper provides a method to estimate time varying coefficients structural VARs which are non-recursive and potentially overidentified. The procedure allows for linear and non-linear restrictions on the parameters, maintains the multi-move structure of standard algorithms and can be used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019708
We estimate a new Keynesian open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of Australia with a large number of shocks, frictions and rigidities, matching a large number of observable time series. We find that both foreign and domestic shocks are important drivers of the Australian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547106
We compare the transmission of fiscal shocks in four OECD countries and in the Euro area. Fiscal shocks are identified in a SVAR by the restrictions that disturbances to government consumption, government investment and government employment increase output and deficits contemporaneously. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547365
We investigate the similarities of macroeconomicfluctuations in the Mediterranean basin and their convergence. A model with three geo-political indicators, covering the West, the East and the MENA portions of the Mediterranean, characterizes well the historical experience since the early 1980....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010692000
Standard practice in Bayesian VARs is to formulate priors on the autoregressive parameters, but economists and policy makers actually have priors about the behavior of observable variables. We show how this kind of prior can be used in a VAR under strict probability theory principles. We state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010632932