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. Nevertheless it is not very often consistent with the real data. Copulae allows for an extension of the classical time series … models to nonelliptically distributed residuals. In this paper we apply different copulae to the calculation of the static … and dynamic Value-at-Risk of portfolio returns and Profit-and-Loss function. In our findings copula based multivariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016234
. In order to describe such situations, copula-based models have been studied during the last year. In this paper, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010735914
This paper evaluates the model risk of models used for forecasting systemic and market risk. Model risk, which is the potential for different models to provide inconsistent outcomes, is shown to be increasing with and caused by market uncertainty. During calm periods, the underlying risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011163510
Epidemics are often modeled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions, seasonal effects, etc.). These models assign diffusion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746158
We propose the systemic risk beta as a measure for financial companies’ contribution to systemic risk given network interdependence between firms’ tail risk exposures. Conditional on statistically pre-identified network spillover effects and market and balance sheet information, we define...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351506
We propose the realized systemic risk beta as a measure for financial companies’ contribution to systemic risk given network interdependence between firms’ tail risk exposures. Conditional on statistically pre-identified network spillover effects and market and balance sheet information, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277260
Archimedean copulas and allows for general non-exchangeable dependency structures. We show that the structure of the copula can be … uniquely recovered from all bivariate margins. We derive the distribution of the copula value, which is particularly useful for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005489955
Gaussian, the NIG, the double-t, and the Gumbel copula model. After calibration of these models one obtains a time varying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184070
We propose an iterative procedure to efficiently estimate models with complex log-likelihood functions and the number of parameters relative to the observations being potentially high. Given consistent but inefficient estimates of sub-vectors of the parameter vector, the procedure yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010735445
consistent framework. Credit spreads are modelled by geometric Brownian motions with a dependence structure powered by a t-copula …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745286