Showing 1 - 10 of 58
problem of online estimation of current values of w = w(T) and a = a(T) from the observations SI , ... ,ST. We propose an … adaptive method of estimation which does not use any information about time homogeneity of the obscured process. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582392
theory but rather base the decision of the lag structure on a robust Lagrange Multiplier test. In contrast to U.S. data we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570
This paper offers a new approach for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of financial time series. No …. -- stochastic volatility model ; adaptive estimation ; local homogeneity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626679
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919316
Daily returns of financial assets are frequently found to exhibit positive autocorrelation at lag 1. When specifying a linear AR(l) conditional mean, one may ask how this predictability affects option prices. We investigate the dependence of option prices on autoregressive dynamics under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580460
The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613608
; Parameter estimation uncertainty ; Probability integral transform ; Quadratic form ; Short-term interest rate ; Transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621413
A particular version of the tests of Robinson (1994) for testing stochastic cycles in macroeconomic time series is proposed in this article. The tests have a standard limit distribution and are easy to implement in raw time series. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted, studying the size and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611541
We make use in this article of a testing procedure suggested by Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new test statistic is developed to simultaneously test both, the order of integration of the seasonal component and the need of seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612017
The analysis of diffusion processes in financial models is crucially dependent on the form of the drift and diffusion coefficient functions. A methodology is proposed for estimating and testing coefficient functions for ergodic diffusions that are not directly observable. It is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613611