Showing 1 - 10 of 11,758
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001916784
We provide a framework for evaluating and improving multivariate density forecasts. Among other things, the multivariate framework lets us evaluate the adequacy of density forecasts involving cross-variable interactions, such as time-varying conditional correlations. We also provide conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471967
econometric performance of regime-switching models for interest rate data from the US, Germany and the UK. There is strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472295
States, the United Kingdom, and Germany using the Campbell-Shiller (1991) regressions and a vector …-problem effects is largely consistent with term structure data from the U.S., U.K., and Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472666
We present an econometric method for estimating the parameters of a diffusion model from discretely sampled data. The estimator is transparent, adaptive, and inherits the asymptotic properties of the generally unattainable maximum likelihood estimator. We use this method to estimate a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470313
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009624851
regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627286
It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485
the price of a commodity, currency or similar quantity. Interval estimation and hypothesis testing for H are central to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581110