The aim of this paper is to account for both the short-run uctuations and thevery-long run transformations induced by technological change in analysing long-rungrowth patterns. The paper investigates the possible imprint left by short-run uctuationson the long run dynamics by aecting the...

The paper contributes to the literature on the relation between structural changes indemand and supply and growth. We develop a macro{economic model with agent{basedmicro{foundations that articulates the links between production and organisational structureson the supply side, and the endogenous...

Experiments in psychology, where subjects estimate confidence intervals to a series of factual questions, have shown that individuals report far too narrow intervals. This has been interpreted as evidence of overconfidence in the preciseness of knowledge, a potentially serious violation of the...