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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000090323
none of the more recent oil price shocks has been associated with stagflation in the US economy, a major reason for the … stagflation of the 1970s. We show that this is not the case …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467834
supply-side policies, in particular the 40-hour law, contributed to French stagflation. These results are inconsistent both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456535
U.S. inflation data exhibit two notable spikes into the double-digit range in 1973-1974 and again in 1978-1980. The well-known "supply-shock" explanation attributes both spikes to large food and energy shocks plus, in the case of 1973-1974, the removal of price controls. Yet critics of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464085
generated the stagflation of the 1970s as is often thought. There is neither a theoretical presumption that oil supply shocks … contractions can generate stagflation of realistic magnitude even in the absence of supply shocks. Furthermore, monetary … coincidence of major oil price increases and worsening stagflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470331
The origins of stagflation and the possibility of its recurrence continue to be an important concern among policymakers … and in the popular press. It is common to associate the origins of the Great Stagflation of the 1970s with the two major … of the causal mechanism generating stagflation as is often thought. We provide a model that can explain the bulk of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471228
We analyze the effect of inflation on the average output of monopolistic firms facing a small fixed cost of changing nominal prices. Using Taylor expansions, we derive a general closed-form solution for the slope of the long-run Phillips curve. This very simple, unifying formula allows us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474604
Romer and Romer (1989,1990,1992) identify dates where the Federal Reserve appears to have shifted its policy towards reducing the rate of inflation. This paper examines the economic context that drives this decision. It finds that the Fed appears to weigh the outlook for unemployment as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474617
The evolution of unemployment in West Germany and the U. S. stands in sharp contrast, with German unemployment much lower from 1960 to the early 19705 but substantially higher from 1984 to 1988. This paper provides a framework for examining the relationship between inflation and unemployment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474668
We analyze the dynamics of inflation in an economy characterized by a forward-looking, staggered, price and wage determination process, and by monetary accommodation. In our model, inflation reconciles the conflicting claims of workers and firms. The model is capable of generating a positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475897