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The Great Depression ushered in a long era of deglobalization that lasted for many decades. An old conventional wisdom (e.g. Polanyi) argues that the common aspect of this shock across all countries, a deep depression, can explain the large and persistent global shift away from orthodox liberal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463174
What does the historical record tell us about how to conduct monetary policy in a deflationary environment? We present a broad cross-country historical study of deflation over the past two centuries in order to shed light on current policy challenges. We first review the theoretical literature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467856
In advanced economies, a century-long near-stable ratio of credit to GDP gave way to rapid financialization and surging leverage in the last forty years. This "financial hockey stick" coincides with shifts in foundational macroeconomic relationships beyond the widely-noted return of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455937
in capital inflows during an era of intensified globalization. We find that higher levels of original sin (hard currency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465157
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013480751
In this paper, we review and attempt to explain the changes in business cycle synchronization among 16 industrial countries and the over the past century and a quarter, demarcated into four exchange rate regimes. We find that there is a secular trend towards increased synchronization for much of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462553
context of globalization then ( pre-1914) and now ( 1980 to the present). I then discuss the determinants of emerging market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465663
anticipated the collapse of the first era of globalization that began in the mid-nineteenth century. He admonished the short … organize: World War I, Bretton Woods, 1970s Great Inflation and Managed Floating. Each turning point was characterized by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599404
Recent research in international economic history has opened up new lines of enquiry on the origins of globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469380
have placed an emphasis on the importance of trade with New World colonies, and the expanded supply of raw cotton it … provided. We test both hypotheses using calibrated general equilibrium models of the British economy and the rest of the world … trade with the rest of the world, not the American colonies, that allowed Britain to export its rapidly expanding textile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464570