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The Great Depression ushered in a long era of deglobalization that lasted for many decades. An old conventional wisdom (e.g. Polanyi) argues that the common aspect of this shock across all countries, a deep depression, can explain the large and persistent global shift away from orthodox liberal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463174
Globalization has made it possible for labor in developing countries to augment labor in the developed world, without … world's effective labor supply, triggered by geo-political events and technological innovations, coupled with the inability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463245
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013480802
climatic changes on economic activity throughout the world. We find three primary results. First, higher temperatures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464514
In advanced economies, a century-long near-stable ratio of credit to GDP gave way to rapid financialization and surging leverage in the last forty years. This "financial hockey stick" coincides with shifts in foundational macroeconomic relationships beyond the widely-noted return of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455937
in capital inflows during an era of intensified globalization. We find that higher levels of original sin (hard currency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465157
The intellectual response to the Great Depression is often portrayed as a battle between the ideas of Friedrich Hayek and John Maynard Keynes. Yet both the Austrian and the Keynesian interpretations of the Depression were incomplete. Austrians could explain how a country might get into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461060
In this paper, we review and attempt to explain the changes in business cycle synchronization among 16 industrial countries and the over the past century and a quarter, demarcated into four exchange rate regimes. We find that there is a secular trend towards increased synchronization for much of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462553
Forecasting currencies with commodity prices -- Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments / Jan J. J. Groen and Paolo A. Pesenti -- Comments: Kalok Chan, Roberto S. Mariano -- The relationship between commodity prices and currency exchange rates: evidence from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008909722
integrated with world capital markets tends to be less procyclical/more countercyclical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460906