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Measuring unemployment composition over the cycle

Barbarino, Alessandro; Pavan, Ronni - Society for Economic Dynamics - SED - 2006

This paper proposes a strategy to measure, in a unified setting, how the job finding probability and the job separation probability conditional on observable and unobservable individual characteristics varies over the business cycle. Recent papers by Shimer and Hall point out how new...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069220

Payroll Taxes, Social Insurance and Business Cycles

Burda, Michael C; Weder, Mark - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

frictions and unemployment insurance, when the latter is only imperfectly related to search effort. A balanced social insurance … volatility and persistence of vacancies and unemployment. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008611008

Structural and Cyclical Forces in the Labor Market During the Great Recession: Cross-Country Evidence

Sala, Luca; Söderström, Ulf; Trigari, Antonella - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012

We use an estimated monetary business cycle model with search and matching frictions in the labor market and nominal … movements in GDP, unemployment, vacancies, and wages in the period from 2007 until 2011. We show that contractionary financial … factors and reduced efficiency in labor market matching were largely responsible for the experience in the U.S. Financial …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083316

The Output Gap, the Labor Wedge, and the Dynamic Behavior of Hours

Sala, Luca; Söderström, Ulf; Trigari, Antonella - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

We use a standard quantitative business cycle model with nominal price and wage rigidities to estimate two measures of economic inefficiency in recent U.S. data: the output gap---the gap between the actual and efficient levels of output---and the labor wedge---the wedge between households'...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642884

Organizational capital and employment fluctuations

Rens, Thijs van - Department of Economics and Business, Universitat … - 2004

margin of labor adjustment, in combination with adjustment costs along the extensive margin (search frictions, firing costs …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707967

The role of expectations in economic fluctuations and the efficacy of monetary policy

Kurz, Mordecai; Jin, Hehui; Motolese, Maurizio - Center for Financial Studies - 2003

We show diverse beliefs is an important propagation mechanism of fluctuations, money non neutrality and efficacy of monetary policy. Since expectations affect demand, our theory shows economic fluctuations are mostly driven by varying demand not supply shocks. Using a competitive model with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986484

Do institutions and culture matter for business cycles?

Altug, Sumru; Canova, Fabio - Department of Economics and Business, Universitat … - 2012

We examine the relationship between institutions, culture and cyclical fluctuations for a sample of 45 European, Middle Eastern and North African countries. Better governance is associated with shorter and less severe contractions and milder expansions. Certain cultural traits, such as lack of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849590

Bayesian Fan Charts for U.K. Inflation: Forecasting and Sources of Uncertainty in an Evolving Monetary System

Cogley, Timothy; Morozov, Sergei; Sargent, Thomas J. - Center for Financial Studies - 2003

We estimate a Bayesian vector autoregression for the U.K. with drifting coefficients and stochastic volatilities. We use it to characterize posterior densities for several objects that are useful for designing and evaluating monetary policy, including local approximations to the mean,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022410

The Role of Expectations in Economic Fluctuations and the Efficacy of Monetary Policy

Jin, Hehui; Motolese, Maurizio - Center for Financial Studies - 2003

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022413

Multiple filtering devices for the estimation of cyclical DSGE models

Canova, Fabio; Ferroni, Filippo - Department of Economics and Business, Universitat … - 2009

We propose a method to estimate time invariant cyclical DSGE models using the information provided by a variety of filters. We treat data filtered with alternative procedures as contaminated proxies of the relevant model-based quantities and estimate structural and non-structural parameters...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005704967