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Measuring unemployment composition over the cycle

Barbarino, Alessandro; Pavan, Ronni - Society for Economic Dynamics - SED - 2006

This paper proposes a strategy to measure, in a unified setting, how the job finding probability and the job separation probability conditional on observable and unobservable individual characteristics varies over the business cycle. Recent papers by Shimer and Hall point out how new...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069220

Payroll Taxes, Social Insurance and Business Cycles

Burda, Michael C; Weder, Mark - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

frictions and unemployment insurance, when the latter is only imperfectly related to search effort. A balanced social insurance … volatility and persistence of vacancies and unemployment. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008611008

Structural and Cyclical Forces in the Labor Market During the Great Recession: Cross-Country Evidence

Sala, Luca; Söderström, Ulf; Trigari, Antonella - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012

We use an estimated monetary business cycle model with search and matching frictions in the labor market and nominal … movements in GDP, unemployment, vacancies, and wages in the period from 2007 until 2011. We show that contractionary financial … factors and reduced efficiency in labor market matching were largely responsible for the experience in the U.S. Financial …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083316

The Output Gap, the Labor Wedge, and the Dynamic Behavior of Hours

Sala, Luca; Söderström, Ulf; Trigari, Antonella - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

We use a standard quantitative business cycle model with nominal price and wage rigidities to estimate two measures of economic inefficiency in recent U.S. data: the output gap---the gap between the actual and efficient levels of output---and the labor wedge---the wedge between households'...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642884

Do institutions and culture matter for business cycles?

Altug, Sumru; Canova, Fabio - Department of Economics and Business, Universitat … - 2012

We examine the relationship between institutions, culture and cyclical fluctuations for a sample of 45 European, Middle Eastern and North African countries. Better governance is associated with shorter and less severe contractions and milder expansions. Certain cultural traits, such as lack of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849590

Mitigating the Procyclicality of Basel II

Repullo, Rafael; Saurina, Jesús; Trucharte, Carlos - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2009

This paper compares alternative procedures to mitigate the procyclicality of the new risk-sensitive bank capital regulation (Basel II). We estimate a model of the probabilities of default (PDs) of Spanish firms during the period 1987-2008, and use the estimated PDs to compute the corresponding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973964

On Adjusting the HP-Filter for the Frequency of Observations

Ravn, Morten O; Uhlig, Harald - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2001

This Paper studies how the HP-Filter should be adjusted, when changing the frequency of observations. It complements the results of Baxter and King (1999) with an analytical analysis, demonstrating that the filter parameter should be adjusted by multiplying it with the fourth power of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067569

The Return to Capital and the Business Cycle

Gomme, Paul; Ravikumar, B.; Rupert, Peter - Society for Economic Dynamics - SED - 2006

Real business cycle models have difficulty replicating the volatility of S&P 500 returns. This fact should not be surprising since the RBC theory suggests a measurement of the return of aggregate capital, not stock market returns. We construct a quarterly time series of the after-tax return to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005048009

The Countercyclical Capital Buffer of Basel III: A Critical Assessment

Repullo, Rafael; Saurina, Jesús - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

We provide a critical assessment of the countercyclical capital buffer in the new regulatory framework known as Basel III, which is based on the deviation of the credit-to-GDP ratio with respect to its trend. We argue that a mechanical application of the buffer would tend to reduce capital...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008873330

Safety Traps

Benhima, Kenza; Massenot, Baptiste - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

Fear of risk provides a rationale for protracted economic downturns. We develop a real business cycle model where investors with decreasing relative risk aversion choose between a risky and a safe technology that exhibit decreasing returns. Because of a feedback effect from the interest rate to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083753