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and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … unemployment within the Phillips curve framework. Following the original problem formulation by Fisher and Phillips, the set of … study has validated the reliability and accuracy of the linear and lagged relationships between inflation, unemployment, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109998
This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The … theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of … government spending on public-sector jobs reduces unemployment, especially during recessions: the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257
plot of seasonal adjusted quarterly data between the change of nominal wage rates and the unemployment rate shows a picture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008587820
For U.S. recessions since 1948, we study paneled time series of (i) ExUR, the excess of the unemployment rate over the … maximum effect of NGAP on unemployment occurs with a lag of 2 to 3 quarters. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108641
doubles when unemployment rises from 5% to 8%. Theoretically, such countercyclicality arises because of a nonlinearity, namely … in recessions but large in expansions. Hence, government consumption reduces unemployment much more in recessions than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083889
To generate big responses of unemployment to productivity changes, researchers have reconfigured matching models in … introducing costly acquisition of credit, or by positing government mandated unemployment compensation and layoff costs. All of … these redesigned matching models increase responses of unemployment to movements in productivity by diminishing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201357
unemployment – inflation space. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009325625
Over the past two decades, technological progress in the United States has been biased towards skilled labor. What does this imply for business cycles? We construct a quarterly skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run restrictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643505
Increasing returns are an incontrovertible fact since Adam Smith hailed them as the very originators of wealth, yet they play havoc with general equilibrium. They fit, in marked contrast, nicely into the structural axiomatic framework. This indicates that it is worthwhile to replace the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009278289
Nominal price and wage rigidity renders monetary policy effective over output. However, this effectiveness extends, under widely used overlapping-wage and Calvo-contract Phillips Curves, to planned monetary policy (‘exploitability’) and not merely to policy surprises. We argue that within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662276