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The Poor Stay Poor: Non-Convergence Across Countries and Regions

Canova, Fabio; Marcet, Albert - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1995

We study the issue of income convergence across countries and regions with a Bayesian model which allows us to use … information in an efficient and flexible way. We argue that the very slow convergence rates to a common level of per-capita income … introduces in the results. Our approach permits the estimation of different convergence rates to different steady states for each …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067447

Economic and Political Liberalizations

Giavazzi, Francesco; Tabellini, Guido - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2004

This Paper studies empirically the effects of and the interactions amongst economic and political liberalizations. Economic liberalizations are measured by a widely used indicator that captures the scope of the market in the economy, and in particular of policies towards freer international...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661576

How Large Are the Effects of Tax Changes?

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2009

We use the time series of shifts in U.S. Federal tax liabilities constructed by Romer and Romer to estimate tax multipliers. Differently from the single-equation approach adopted by Romer and Romer, our estimation strategy (a Var that includes output, government spending and revenues, inflation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082536

Country Heterogeneity and the International Evidence on the Effects of Fiscal Policy

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco; Perego, Jacopo - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

This paper shows how the richer frequency and variety of fiscal policy shocks available in an international sample can be analyzed recognizing the heterogeneity that exists across different countries. The main conclusion of our empirical analysis is that the question 'what is the fiscal policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201121

Reconciling VAR-based and Narrative Measures of the Tax-Multiplier

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

The currently available empirical evidence shows remarkable differences between various estimates of the effects on U.S. output of an exogenous shift in Federal tax liabilities. Shocks identified via the narrative method imply a multiplier of about three over an horizon of three years. Tax...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468626

Inflation Targeting and Debt: Lessons from Brazil

Favero, Carlo A.; Giavazzi, Francesco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2004

A single variable describes, day-by-day, what investors think about the state of Brazil's economy: the Brazilian component of the Emerging Market Bond Index, the Embi spread. This spread is the difference between the yield on a dollar-denominated bond issued by the Brazilian government and a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123784

Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes: International Evidence and the Swedish Experience

Giavazzi, Francesco; Pagano, Marco - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1995

In earlier work we documented two episodes in which a sharp fiscal consolidation was associated with a surprisingly large expansion in private domestic demand. In this paper we draw on further evidence to investigate if and when fiscal policy changes can have such non-Keynesian effects. In the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136472

Fiscal Insurance and Debt Management in OECD Economies

Faraglia, Elisa; Marcet, Albert; Scott, Andrew - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2007

Assuming the role of debt management is to provide hedging against fiscal shocks we consider three questions: i) what indicators can be used to assess the performance of debt management? ii) how well have historical debt management policies performed? and iii) how is that performance affected by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136566

Searching for Non-Monotonic Effects of Fiscal Policy: New Evidence

Benedetti, Marina; Giavazzi, Francesco; Jappelli, Tullio; … - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2005

Data revisions and the availability of a longer sample offer the opportunity to reconsider the empirical findings that suggest that in the OECD countries national saving responds non-monotonically to fiscal policy. The paper confirms that the circumstance most likely to give rise to a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136574

In Search of a Theory of Debt Management

Faraglia, Elisa; Marcet, Albert; Scott, Andrew - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008

A growing literature integrates theories of debt management into models of optimal fiscal policy. One promising theory argues that the composition of government debt should be chosen so that fluctuations in the market value of debt offset changes in expected future deficits. This complete market...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136601