The stability of the EMS depends crucially on the realignment expectations of market participants. In this paper we discuss how to measure such expectations and how to relate them to economic fundamentals, central bank reputation, and the institutional arrangements of the EMS. We find the...

The paper discusses the policy problems involved in replacing several national currencies with a single currency in a monetary union. While these problems are of general interest, the analysis is motivated by the plan for Economic and Monetary Union among the members of the European Community....

This paper discusses several determinants of the differential between yields on Italian government securities and yields on foreign government securities. We concentrate on expectations of (at least partial) insolvency, tax factors and exchange rate expectations. The evidence suggests that most...