We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by considerationof the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an assetat some specied time in the future. In the case where the asset is driven by Brownianmotion, an associated \master equation"...

We study a new class of three-factor affine option pricing models with interdependent volatilitydynamics and a stochastic skewness component unrelated to volatility shocks. Theseproperties are useful in order (i) to model a term structure of implied volatility skews moreconsistent with the data...

Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about market expectations. Exploiting this information has proved difficult in practice, because the presence of a timevarying risk premium often renders the futures price a poor measure of the market expectation of the price of...