of the commitment of participants in the ERM to maintain their parities against the Deutschmark, with Germany acting as a … low-inflation anchor. The paper finds evidence of such a credibility effect: during `the EMS period' (flexibly dated …) German inflation enters into autoregressive inflation predictor schemes for each of the main EMS countries (Belgium, France …

monetary policy usually affects both inflation and unemployment, even when all structural parameters of the economy and of … features, such as the degree of centralization of wage bargaining, labour unions' inflation aversion and the degree of … suggests that the switch to a monetary union is likely to make labor uur unions more aggressive, increasing unemployment …

We extend the `rational-partisan' model of inflation to allow for the effects of unemployment persistence on the … dynamics of inflation. We combine this model with the `exchange-rate-regime' model of inflation and examine the experience of … the United Kingdom. Outside the fixed exchange rate regime of Bretton Woods, persistently high inflation can be attributed …

) triggers two opposite effects on real wages, unemployment and inflation. The decrease in the number of unions reduces the … competition effect’ raises real wages, unemployment and inflation. But the decrease in the number of unions also strengthens the …, unemployment and inflation. The interaction between those two effects produces a Calmfors-Driffill type relation between real wages …

natural rate of unemployment. In addition, because of differential inflation across countries, real exchange rates become …

has been a worsening in the trade-off between unemployment and inflation. The poor unemployment/inflation trade-off is due … to the neglect of skill training and education (causing skill shortages) and to the build-up of long-term unemployment … (which does little to restrain inflation). …

precommit. This implies that a variation of the policy maker's degree of inflation aversion does not have a systematic effect on … maker's inflation aversion may have a systematic effect on equilibrium employment even if agents have rational expectations …

shifts in the parameters of wage equations when the process generating price inflation changes. The two major shifts that we …

This paper explores the interrelation between the degree of unemployment persistence and the unemployment … unemployment and making unemployment less persistent, the less effective will be the growth-promoting supply-side policies (such as … training schemes) in reducing unemployment. …

Germany in the EMS and is consistent with the evidence that membership has induced several countries to disinflate more than …